Predictions

What traders on Kalshi and Polymarket expect for the Fed, inflation, jobs and growth, the stock market, companies, crypto, commodities and currencies: the odds of each outcome and the ranges they imply, next to the instruments they are about.

Crude Oil all time high by...?

13%December 31

March 31, 202713%▼ 6
December 3113%▼ 3

CL=F+0.76%USO−8.07%

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?

$96.89high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $96.89 and as low as $80.63.

Reaches $9559%
Reaches $10036%
Reaches $10524%
Reaches $11014%

Falls to $8578%
Falls to $8046%
Falls to $7524%
Falls to $7010%

Already reached: ↑ $100, ↓ $90, ↓ $95

CL=F+0.76%USO−8.07%

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

50%↑ $4,500

Reaches $4,50050%
Reaches $5,0005%
Reaches $6,0002%
Reaches $7,0002%

Falls to $3,5006%
Falls to $3,0003%
Falls to $2,5001%

GC=F+1.79%GLD+3.68%IAU+3.67%

US gas prices this week (On Nov 9, 2026)

$4.03median

$3.98$4.42

Median $4.03Middle half $4.02 – $4.04

UGA−7.06%RB=F−0.88%

US imports Russian diesel by...?

15%December 31

January 3114%▼ 5
March 3114%▼ 3
November 1514%▼ 3
November 3014%▼ 2

1 more

December 3115%▼ 3

How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?

21%$115.01 or above

Reaches $11521%
Reaches $12014%
Reaches $12512%
Reaches $1309%

CL=F+0.76%USO−8.07%

Gas prices in the US in Nov 2026?

$3.78median

$2.40$5.10

Median $3.78Middle half $3.69 – $3.90

RB=F−0.88%UGA−7.06%

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?

$4,305high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,305 and as low as $3,983.

Reaches $4,20079%
Reaches $4,30051%
Reaches $4,40030%
Reaches $4,50016%

Falls to $4,00053%
Falls to $3,90036%
Falls to $3,80013%
Falls to $3,7009%

Already reached: ↑ $4,100, ↑ $4,000, ↓ $3,900, ↓ $3,900

GC=F+1.79%GLD+3.68%IAU+3.67%

Diesel prices this week (November 9, 2026)

$6.16median

$6.08$6.52

Median $6.16Middle half $6.13 – $6.19

UGA−7.06%RB=F−0.88%

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of November 2 2026?

32%↓ $85

Reaches $9517%
Reaches $1005%
Reaches $1052%
Reaches $1101%

Falls to $8532%
Falls to $804%
Falls to $752%
Falls to $701%

Already reached: ↓ $100, ↓ $95, ↓ $90, ↓ $95

CL=F+0.76%USO−8.07%

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in November 2026?

$56.64high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $56.64 and as low as $49.12.

Reaches $5483%
Reaches $5657%
Reaches $5834%
Reaches $6021%

Falls to $5288%
Falls to $5062%
Falls to $4836%
Falls to $4621%

Already reached: ↓ $52, ↓ $50, ↓ $50, ↑ $52, ↑ $50

SI=F+0.93%SLV+5.17%

Gold price on Nov 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?

$4,137median

$3,588$4,408

Median $4,137Middle half $4,095 – $4,176Above today's price 44%

GC=F+1.79%IAU+3.67%GLD+3.68%

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

$1.22Mmedian

$1.1M$2.3M

Median $1.22M

CL=F+0.76%USO−8.07%

Gold price at year end? (On December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST)

$4,198median

$3,200$5,600

Median $4,198Middle half $3,984 – $4,394Above today's price 56%

GC=F+1.79%IAU+3.67%GLD+3.68%

WTI price at year end? (On December 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM EST)

$87.17median

$70$130

Median $87.17Middle half $75.96 – $99.09Above today's price 40%

CL=F+0.76%USO−8.07%

Oil Price (WTI) on Nov 6, 2026?

$91.77median

$91.01$117.98

Median $91.77Middle half $91.39 – $94.71

CL=F+0.76%USO−8.07%

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of November 2 2026?

$4,182high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,182.

Reaches $4,15080%
Reaches $4,20034%
Reaches $4,25027%
Reaches $4,30027%

Falls to $4,05023%
Falls to $4,00019%
Falls to $3,95019%
Falls to $3,90019%

Already reached: ↑ $4,100, ↑ $4,050, ↑ $4,000, ↑ $3,950, ↑ $3,900, ↓ $3,950

GC=F+1.79%GLD+3.68%IAU+3.67%

Gold price on Nov 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?

$4,138median

$2,844$4,684

Median $4,138Middle half $3,992 – $4,269Above today's price 49%

GC=F+1.79%GLD+3.68%IAU+3.67%

How low will WTI oil get by Nov 30, 2026?

97%89.49 or below

Already reached: 98.99 or below, 98.49 or below, 97.99 or below, 97.49 or below, 96.99 or below, 96.49 or below

CL=F+0.76%USO−8.07%

How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year? (In 2026)

20%64.99 or below

Falls to $6520%
Falls to $6411%
Falls to $6311%
Falls to $6211%

CL=F+0.76%USO−8.07%

Annual Return: Gold vs. Silver (2026)

88%Gold

Gold88%▲ 2
Silver13%▼ 2

GC=F+1.79%IAU+3.67%GLD+3.68%

Annual Return: WTI vs. Brent? (2026)

92%Brent Crude Oil

Brent Crude Oil92%▼ 2
WTI Crude Oil6%▼ 2

CL=F+0.76%USO−8.07%

Oil Price (WTI) on Nov 6, 2026?

$88.66median

$79.99$95.49

Median $88.66Middle half $86.49 – $91.12Above today's price 48%

CL=F+0.76%USO−8.07%

How high will WTI oil get by Nov 30, 2026?

23%109.01 or above

Reaches $10923%
Reaches $109.5023%
Reaches $11023%
Reaches $11123%

CL=F+0.76%USO−8.07%

Gold price on Nov 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?

$4,135median

$3,834$4,244

Median $4,135Middle half $4,110 – $4,160Above today's price 38%

GC=F+1.79%IAU+3.67%GLD+3.68%

Oil Price (WTI) on Nov 5, 2026?

$88.84median

$82.99$103.49

Median $88.84Middle half $86.97 – $90.30Above today's price 51%

CL=F+0.76%USO−8.07%

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on November 5?

49%$89

$88$100

CL=F+0.76%USO−8.07%

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

10%December 31

December 3110%▲ 1

How low will US gas prices get in Nov 2026?

51%Below $3.85

Traders see as low as $3.83.

Falls to $4.10100%
Falls to $4.05100%
Falls to $496%
Falls to $3.9584%

Already reached: Below $4.15

Diesel prices in Nov 2026

$6.00median

$5.20$7.40

Median $6.00Middle half $5.77 – $6.17

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ means traders give it an 84% chance. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a price ladder ("above $80,000, above $82,000 ..."), the odds at each level give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile. Markets with no quote within ten cents and little trading are left out.

Where both venues ask the same question, both are shown. Markets that settle on different prices (Bitcoin on one exchange at noon, on an index at 5pm) are never averaged.

Each question opens its own page: every outcome, how the odds have moved, and what it settled on.

The venues

Kalshi · regulated U.S. exchange; prices in contracts
Polymarket · prices in dollars traded

Read every few minutes; last 3 min ago. Each card links to its market.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance