Annual Return: Gold vs. Silver (2026)

Kalshi Closes Dec 31 · 33.0K contracts · prices read 8 min ago

The odds

77%Gold
Gold now 4,120.90 +1.18%
  • Gold77%▼ 10
  • Silver23%▲ 10

How the odds have moved

Gold: 88% on Oct 4, 77% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Gold 77% ▼ 10 75¢ 81¢ 14.7K
Silver 23% ▲ 10 21¢ 25¢ 18.4K

More on this question

All commodities & fx ›

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?

$4,280high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,280 and as low as $3,958.

  • Reaches $4,20073%
  • Reaches $4,30045%
  • Reaches $4,40027%
  • Reaches $4,50021%
  • Falls to $4,100>99%
  • Falls to $4,00062%
  • Falls to $3,90034%
  • Falls to $3,80020%

Already reached: ↑ $4,100, ↑ $4,000, ↓ $3,900, ↓ $3,900

GC=F+1.18%IAU+1.19%GLD+1.23%

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of November 2 2026?

$4,161high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,161 and as low as $4,061.

  • Reaches $4,15058%
  • Reaches $4,20021%
  • Reaches $4,2509%
  • Reaches $4,3009%
  • Falls to $4,100>99%
  • Falls to $4,05036%
  • Falls to $4,00012%
  • Falls to $3,9506%

Already reached: ↑ $4,100, ↑ $4,050, ↑ $4,000, ↑ $3,950, ↑ $3,900, ↓ $3,950

PolymarketCloses Fri 5:00 PM ET · $15.5K traded
GC=F+1.18%IAU+1.19%GLD+1.23%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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