What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of November 2 2026?

Polymarket Closes Fri 5:00 PM ET · $19.5K traded · prices read 4 min ago

The odds

37%↓ $4,000
Gold now 4,067.90 −1.11%

Traders see as low as $4,013.

  • Reaches $4,15021%
  • Reaches $4,20021%
  • Reaches $4,25021%
  • Reaches $4,30021%
  • Reaches $4,35021%
  • Reaches $4,40010%
  • Falls to $4,05088%
  • Falls to $4,00037%
  • Falls to $3,95024%
  • Falls to $3,90024%
  • Falls to $3,8504%
  • Falls to $3,8004%
  • Falls to $3,7504%
  • Falls to $3,7004%

Already reached: ↑ $4,100, ↑ $4,050, ↑ $4,000, ↑ $3,950, ↑ $3,900, ↓ $3,950

How the odds have moved

Falls to $3,850: 75% on Oct 31, 4% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
✓ ↑ $3,900 >99% ▲ 5 100¢ 100¢ $1.0K
✓ ↑ $3,950 >99% ▲ 47 100¢ 100¢ $650
✓ ↑ $3,950 >99% 99¢ 100¢ $5.00
✓ ↑ $4,000 >99% ▲ 61 100¢ 100¢ $1.1K
✓ ↑ $4,050 >99% ▲ 67 100¢ 100¢ $503
✓ ↑ $4,100 >99% ▲ 87 100¢ 100¢ $2.1K
↑ $4,150 21% ▼ 64 13¢ 26¢ $2.4K
↑ $4,200 21% ▼ 26 9¢ 11¢ $1.3K
↑ $4,250 21% ▼ 8 3¢ 11¢ $735
↑ $4,300 21% ▼ 6 1¢ 67¢
↑ $4,350 21% ▼ 7 1¢ 73¢
↑ $4,400 10% 1¢ 19¢
↓ $3,550 3% ▲ 2 0¢ 7¢ $80.00
↓ $3,600 3% ▲ 2 0¢ 6¢ $7.00
↓ $3,650 4% 0¢ 7¢ $225
↓ $3,700 4% ▲ 3 1¢ 9¢ $265
↓ $3,750 4% ▲ 4 1¢ 9¢ $706
↓ $3,800 4% 0¢ 4¢ $900
↓ $3,850 4% 0¢ 5¢ $690
✓ ↓ $3,900 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $1.1K
↓ $3,900 24% ▲ 5 1¢ 68¢
✓ ↓ $3,950 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $5.00
↓ $3,950 24% ▼ 33 7¢ 20¢ $414
↓ $4,000 37% ▲ 23 27¢ 46¢ $4.7K
↓ $4,050 88% ▲ 66 79¢ 96¢ $664
✓ ↓ $4,100 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $5.00

More on this question

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What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?

$4,227high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,227 and as low as $3,913.

  • Reaches $4,20056%
  • Reaches $4,30033%
  • Reaches $4,40018%
  • Reaches $4,50018%
  • Falls to $4,00081%
  • Falls to $3,90046%
  • Falls to $3,80024%
  • Falls to $3,70012%

Already reached: ↑ $4,100, ↑ $4,000, ↓ $3,900, ↓ $3,900, ↓ $4,100

GC=F−1.11%IAU+0.82%GLD+0.81%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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