Gold price on Nov 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST?

Kalshi Closes today 5:00 PM ET · 53.1K contracts · prices read 9 min ago

The odds

$4,135median
Gold now 4,145.80 +1.79%
$3,834$4,244
Median $4,135Middle half $4,110 – $4,160Above today's price 38%

How the odds have moved

Median: $4,142 on Nov 5, $4,135 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above $3844 100% ▲ 1 99¢
Above $3854 100% ▲ 1 99¢
Above $3864 100% ▲ 2 99¢
Above $3874 100% ▲ 3 99¢
Above $3884 100% ▲ 3 99¢
Above $3894 100% ▲ 3 99¢
Above $3904 100% ▲ 3 99¢
Above $3914 100% ▲ 3 99¢
Above $3924 100% ▲ 3 99¢
Above $3934 100% ▲ 4 99¢ 19.00
Above $3944 100% ▲ 5 99¢ 24.00
Above $3954 100% ▲ 7 99¢ 24.00
Above $3964 100% ▲ 9 99¢ 19.00
Above $3974 100% ▲ 11 99¢ 14.00
Above $3984 100% ▲ 14 99¢ 14.00
Above $3994 99% ▲ 18 98¢ 523
Above $4004 99% ▲ 23 98¢ 394
Above $4014 99% ▲ 28 98¢ 99¢ 310
Above $4024 99% ▲ 35 98¢ 99¢ 34.00
Above $4034 99% ▲ 42 98¢ 99¢ 33.00
Above $4044 99% ▲ 50 98¢ 99¢ 217
Above $4054 97% ▲ 55 96¢ 98¢ 947
Above $4064 96% ▲ 61 95¢ 96¢ 3.4K
Above $4074 94% ▲ 65 93¢ 94¢ 633
Above $4084 92% ▲ 68 91¢ 92¢ 2.9K
Above $4094 87% ▲ 68 86¢ 87¢ 1.8K
Above $4104 81% ▲ 66 80¢ 81¢ 1.3K
Above $4114 72% ▲ 61 71¢ 73¢ 3.6K
Above $4124 62% ▲ 54 61¢ 63¢ 6.5K
Above $4134 52% ▲ 46 51¢ 52¢ 17.2K
Above $4144 40% ▲ 35 39¢ 41¢ 3.3K
Above $4154 31% ▲ 28 30¢ 31¢ 2.3K
Above $4164 21% ▲ 18 20¢ 21¢ 812
Above $4174 14% ▲ 12 13¢ 16¢ 923
Above $4184 10% ▲ 7 8¢ 11¢ 1.8K
Above $4194 7% ▲ 4 6¢ 8¢ 1.7K
Above $4204 5% ▲ 2 4¢ 6¢ 2.3K
Above $4214 4% ▲ 1 3¢ 5¢ 115
Above $4224 3% ▲ 1 2¢ 4¢
Above $4234 2% ▲ 1 1¢ 3¢

More on this question

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What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of November 2 2026?

$4,184high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,184.

  • Reaches $4,15081%
  • Reaches $4,20035%
  • Reaches $4,25025%
  • Reaches $4,30025%
  • Falls to $4,05024%
  • Falls to $4,00024%
  • Falls to $3,95024%
  • Falls to $3,90024%

Already reached: ↑ $4,100, ↑ $4,050, ↑ $4,000, ↑ $3,950, ↑ $3,900, ↓ $3,950

PolymarketCloses Fri 5:00 PM ET · $12.9K traded
GC=F+1.79%IAU+3.67%GLD+3.68%

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?

$4,307high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $4,307 and as low as $3,985.

  • Reaches $4,20077%
  • Reaches $4,30052%
  • Reaches $4,40030%
  • Reaches $4,50016%
  • Falls to $4,00053%
  • Falls to $3,90036%
  • Falls to $3,80013%
  • Falls to $3,7009%

Already reached: ↑ $4,100, ↑ $4,000, ↓ $3,900, ↓ $3,900

GC=F+1.79%IAU+3.67%GLD+3.68%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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