Fed decision in Apr 2027?

Kalshi Closes Apr 28, 2027 · 128.7K contracts · prices read 9 min ago

The odds

58%Fed maintains rate
  • Fed maintains rate58%
  • Hike 25bps12%▼ 13
  • Cut 25bps5%▼ 6
  • Cut >25bps4%▼ 1
  • Hike >25bps1%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Fed maintains rate: 64% on Oct 2, 58% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Fed maintains rate 58% 56¢ 60¢ 23.3K
Hike 25bps 12% ▼ 13 9¢ 14¢ 69.0K
Cut 25bps 5% ▼ 6 4¢ 6¢ 8.4K
Cut >25bps 4% ▼ 1 3¢ 4¢ 4.5K
Hike >25bps 1% ▼ 1 2¢ 23.5K

The same question on Polymarket

Fed Decision in April?

63%No change
  • No change63%▲ 7
  • 25 bps increase17%▼ 9
  • 25 bps decrease9%▼ 3
  • 50+ bps decrease4%
1 more
  • 50+ bps increase2%

Shown side by side, not averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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