Fed Decision in April?
56%No change
- No change56%▲ 1
- 25 bps increase26%
- 25 bps decrease12%▼ 2
- 50+ bps decrease4%
1 more
- 50+ bps increase2%
Fed maintains rate: 59% on Oct 4, 61% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed maintains rate | 61% | ▲ 6 | 59¢ | 64¢ | 3.5K |
| Hike 25bps | 31% | ▼ 2 | 29¢ | 33¢ | 2.8K |
| Cut 25bps | 6% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 7¢ | 17.1K |
| Cut >25bps | 1% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | 22.2K |
| Hike >25bps | 1% | 1¢ | 1.5K |
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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