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Will EUR/USD hit __ in 2026?
The odds
38%↓ 1.10
EUR/USD now 1.1222 −0.11% - Reaches 1.20008%
- Reaches 1.22006%
- Reaches 1.24002%
- Reaches 1.26002%
- Reaches 1.30001%
- Reaches 1.35001%
- Reaches 1.40001%
- Falls to 1.100038%
- Falls to 1.05007%
- Falls to 1.00005%
Already reached: ↓ 1.16, ↓ 1.14, ↓ 1.12
How the odds have moved
Falls to 1.0500: 8% on Oct 1, 7% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 1.20 | 8% | 4¢ | 11¢ | $41.6K | |
| ↑ 1.22 | 6% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 8¢ | $1.1K |
| ↑ 1.24 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $3.3K | |
| ↑ 1.26 | 2% | 2¢ | 2¢ | $3.5K | |
| ↑ 1.30 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $1.5K | |
| ↑ 1.35 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $6.3K | |
| ↑ 1.40 | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $2.4K | |
| ↓ 1.00 | 5% | 4¢ | 6¢ | $5.1K | |
| ↓ 1.05 | 7% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $6.9K | |
| ↓ 1.10 | 38% | ▼ 7 | 16¢ | 60¢ | $4.1K |
| ✓ ↓ 1.12 | >99% | ▲ 38 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $3.9K |
| ✓ ↓ 1.14 | >99% | ▲ 12 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $10.1K |
| ✓ ↓ 1.16 | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $9.9K |
More on this question
All commodities & fx › 1.1220median
1.09901.1410
Median 1.1220Middle half 1.1189 – 1.1253Above today's price 48%
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
82%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase82%▼ 7
- No change15%▲ 3
- 50+ bps increase1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 25 bps decrease<1%
ECB Interest Rates: March 2027
53%No Change
- No Change53%▼ 1
- 25 bps increase39%▼ 1
- 50+ bps increase5%▲ 1
- 50+ bps decrease4%
1 more
- 25 bps decrease1%
Next ECB President?
40%Pablo Hernández de Cos
- Pablo Hernández de Cos40%▲ 2
- Klaas Knot36%▼ 3
- Other29%
- François Villeroy de Galhau8%▲ 2
4 more
- Fabio Panetta5%▼ 2
- Nadia Calviño4%
- Joachim Nagel4%▲ 1
- Olli Rehn2%
ECB Interest Rates: February 2027
80%No Change
- No Change80%▲ 2
- 25 bps increase14%▼ 1
- 50+ bps increase3%▼ 2
- 50+ bps decrease3%▼ 1
1 more
- 25 bps decrease3%▼ 2
Will USD/KRW hit __ in 2026?
50%↓1300
- Reaches 1,6009%
- Reaches 1,6508%
- Reaches 1,7006%
- Reaches 1,8004%
- Falls to 1,30050%
- Falls to 1,20011%
- Falls to 1,10011%
- Falls to 1,00010%
Already reached: ↑1550, ↑1500, ↓1400, ↓1350
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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