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JOLTS Job Openings: October 2026
The odds
7.47Mmedian
7.10M7.90M
Median 7.47MMiddle half 7.27M – 7.61M
How the odds have moved
Median: 7.49M on Nov 4, 7.47M now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <7.2M | 19% | ▼ 3 | 23¢ | 24¢ | $1.7K |
| 7.2M to 7.3M | 9% | ▲ 3 | 10¢ | 12¢ | $1.9K |
| 7.3M to 7.4M | 18% | ▲ 15 | 10¢ | 35¢ | $904 |
| 7.4M to 7.5M | 5% | ▼ 7 | 2¢ | 11¢ | $501 |
| 7.5M to 7.6M | 20% | 13¢ | 37¢ | $1.4K | |
| 7.6M to 7.7M | 21% | ▲ 5 | 14¢ | 37¢ | $353 |
| 7.7M to 7.8M | 3% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | 8¢ | $476 |
| 7.8M+ | 4% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $332 |
More on this question
All inflation & jobs › 7.43median
7.257.70
Median 7.43
Initial jobless claims for the week ending November 7, 2026
192,308median
160,000220,000
Median 192,308Middle half 187,619 – 196,875
How many jobs added in October?
68Kmedian
-50K125K
Median 68KMiddle half 36K – 104K
Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?
84Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 84K
Unemployment in October (In Oct 2026)
4.14%median
3.6%5.1%
Median 4.14%Middle half 4.06% – 4.2%
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
84,176median
79,00093,000
Median 84,176Middle half 83,471 – 84,851
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance