Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?

Kalshi Closes Dec 4 · 9.0K contracts · prices read 4 min ago

The odds

82Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 82K

How the odds have moved

Median: 70K on Oct 13, 82K now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above -25,000 91% ▼ 4 86¢ 96¢ 890
Above 0 86% ▼ 6 81¢ 91¢ 727
Above 10,000 83% 78¢ 88¢ 546
Above 20,000 79% ▼ 2 74¢ 84¢ 473
Above 30,000 76% ▲ 61 71¢ 81¢ 757
Above 40,000 71% ▲ 9 66¢ 76¢ 270
Above 50,000 67% ▲ 52 62¢ 71¢ 778
Above 60,000 62% ▼ 4 57¢ 67¢ 911
Above 70,000 57% ▲ 9 52¢ 62¢ 311
Above 80,000 52% ▲ 1 51¢ 52¢ 872
Above 90,000 45% ▼ 1 40¢ 50¢ 722
Above 100,000 39% ▲ 2 34¢ 44¢ 87.00
Above 125,000 26% 21¢ 30¢ 1.6K

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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