Initial jobless claims for the week ending November 7, 2026

Kalshi Closes Nov 12 · 173 contracts · prices read 25 min ago

The odds

192,097median
160,000220,000
Median 192,097Middle half 187,143 – 196,795

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
At least 165,000 97% 95¢ 99¢
At least 170,000 97% 95¢ 99¢
At least 175,000 97% 94¢ 99¢
At least 180,000 95% 90¢ 99¢
At least 185,000 84% 79¢ 89¢ 111
At least 190,000 63% 58¢ 68¢ 59.00
At least 195,000 32% 29¢ 35¢
At least 200,000 13% 11¢ 14¢
At least 205,000 5% 3¢ 6¢
At least 210,000 2% 1¢ 3¢ 3.00
At least 215,000 2% 5¢

More on this question

All inflation & jobs ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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