10Y US Treasury yield on Nov 5, 2026?

Kalshi Closes today 3:30 PM ET · 5.7K contracts · prices read 31 min ago

The odds

4.84%median
10Y Yield now 4.839 −1.12%
4.78%5.1%
Median 4.84%Middle half 4.83% – 4.85%Above today's price 55%

How the odds have moved

Median: 4.85% on Nov 5, 4.84% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
4.81% or above 95% 90¢ 99¢ 436
4.83% or above 86% 57¢ 98¢ 663
4.85% or above 53% 22¢ 39¢ 855
4.87% or above 5% 13¢ 456
4.89% or above 1% 2¢ 1.5K
4.91% or above 1% 1¢ 804
4.93% or above 1% 1¢ 406
4.95% or above 1% 1¢ 500
4.97% or above 1% 1¢ 10.00
4.99% or above 1% 1¢
5.01% or above 1% 1¢
5.03% or above 1% 1¢
5.05% or above 1% 1¢
5.07% or above 1% 1¢
5.09% or above 1% 1¢

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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