How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in November?

Polymarket Closes Nov 30 · $3.4K traded · prices read 48 min ago

The odds

49%Below 4.57%
10Y Yield now 4.837 −1.16%
4.53%4.85%

How the odds have moved

Below 4.82%: 37% on Nov 4, 49% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
Below 4.57% 49% ▼ 2 1¢ 90¢ $132
Below 4.61% 49% ▲ 7 16¢ 28¢ $1.3K
Below 4.64% 49% ▲ 46 25¢ 91¢ $393
Below 4.67% 49% ▲ 5 13¢ 46¢ $298
Below 4.70% 49% ▲ 3 9¢ 86¢ $185
Below 4.73% 49% ▲ 5 51¢ 56¢ $164
Below 4.76% 49% ▼ 2 14¢ 78¢ $133
Below 4.79% 49% ▲ 7 24¢ 95¢ $220
Below 4.82% 49% ▲ 22 70¢ 90¢ $534

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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