How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Nov 6, 2026?

Kalshi Closes Fri 3:30 PM ET · 1.1K contracts · prices read 30 min ago

The odds

4.82%median
10Y Yield now 4.837 −1.16%
4.74%4.94%
Median 4.82%Middle half 4.8% – 4.83%Above today's price 19%

How the odds have moved

Median: 4.87% on Nov 5, 4.82% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
4.74% or below 97% 81¢ 200
4.75% or below 95% 80¢ 200
4.76% or below 93% 77¢ 200
4.77% or below 91% 74¢ 200
4.78% or below 86% 70¢ 90¢ 100
4.84% or below 1% ▼ 76 1¢ 1.00
4.85% or below 1% ▼ 73 1¢ 1.00
4.86% or below 1% 1¢
4.87% or below 1% 1¢
4.88% or below 1% ▼ 20 1¢
4.89% or below 1% ▼ 15 1¢ 220
4.9% or below 1% 1¢
4.91% or below 1% 1¢
4.92% or below 1% 1¢

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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