How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?

Kalshi Closes Nov 30 · 5.7K contracts · prices read 34 min ago

The odds

4.73%median
10Y Yield now 4.837 −1.16%
4.65%4.85%
Median 4.73%Above today's price 15%

How the odds have moved

Median: 4.81% on Nov 2, 4.73% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
4.65% or below 69% 64¢ 74¢ 100
4.66% or below 67% 62¢ 72¢ 71.00
4.67% or below 65% 60¢ 70¢
4.68% or below 61% 56¢ 66¢
4.69% or below 59% 54¢ 64¢ 41.00
4.7% or below 52% 47¢ 57¢ 100
4.71% or below 52% 47¢ 57¢
4.72% or below 50% 45¢ 55¢ 20.00
4.73% or below 47% 42¢ 52¢
4.74% or below 44% 39¢ 49¢
4.75% or below 42% ▼ 13 37¢ 47¢ 300
4.76% or below 37% ▼ 16 32¢ 42¢ 100
4.77% or below 35% ▼ 14 30¢ 40¢ 191
4.78% or below 34% ▼ 12 30¢ 38¢ 120
4.79% or below 33% ▼ 11 28¢ 37¢ 705
4.8% or below 27% ▼ 14 23¢ 30¢ 400
4.81% or below 24% ▼ 14 21¢ 27¢ 455
4.82% or below 21% ▼ 14 18¢ 23¢ 300
4.83% or below 13% ▼ 18 12¢ 13¢ 855
✓ 4.84% or below 3% ▼ 25 200
✓ 4.85% or below 3% ▼ 21 200
✓ 4.86% or below 4% ▼ 18 500
✓ 4.87% or below 2% ▼ 18 239
✓ 4.88% or below 1% ▼ 18 701
✓ 4.89% or below 1% ▼ 13 1.00
✓ 4.9% or below —
✓ 4.91% or below —
✓ 4.92% or below —
✓ 4.93% or below —
✓ 4.94% or below 9% 2.00
✓ 4.95% or below —
✓ 4.96% or below —
✓ 4.97% or below —
✓ 4.98% or below —
✓ 4.99% or below —
✓ 5% or below —
✓ 5.01% or below —
✓ 5.02% or below —
✓ 5.03% or below 2% 119
✓ 5.04% or below —

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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