Rivian vehicles delivered in Q1 2027
28,130median
13,00037,000
Median 28,130Middle half 25,080 – 32,000
Install
Rivian total vehicles delivered in 2026
The odds
70,056median
36,00076,000
Median 70,056Middle half 67,417 – 73,071
How the odds have moved
Median: 65,500 on Sep 30, 70,056 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 38000 | 98% | ▼ 1 | 95¢ | 161 | |
| Above 40000 | 98% | ▼ 1 | 95¢ | 9.3K | |
| Above 42000 | 96% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | 97¢ | 6.7K |
| Above 44000 | 96% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | 99¢ | 7.0K |
| Above 46000 | 95% | 93¢ | 97¢ | 15.6K | |
| Above 48000 | 95% | 94¢ | 96¢ | 12.3K | |
| Above 50000 | 95% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | 98¢ | 9.7K |
| Above 52000 | 93% | ▼ 1 | 89¢ | 95¢ | 14.3K |
| Above 54000 | 93% | ▲ 1 | 90¢ | 95¢ | 426 |
| Above 56000 | 93% | 89¢ | 97¢ | 532 | |
| Above 58000 | 93% | 88¢ | 97¢ | ||
| Above 60000 | 91% | 88¢ | 94¢ | 1.2K | |
| Above 62000 | 90% | 87¢ | 93¢ | 554 | |
| Above 64000 | 89% | 85¢ | 93¢ | 1.1K | |
| Above 66000 | 84% | 82¢ | 85¢ | 1.3K | |
| Above 68000 | 72% | 68¢ | 75¢ | 2.0K | |
| Above 70000 | 51% | ▼ 1 | 47¢ | 54¢ | 1.0K |
| Above 72000 | 33% | 28¢ | 37¢ | 260 | |
| Above 74000 | 19% | ▲ 2 | 14¢ | 23¢ | 21.00 |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
2%Rivian▼ 8
- Xerox9%▲ 3
- Lucid8%▼ 31
- JetBlue Airways4%▼ 2
- Rivian2%▼ 8
11 more
- Workhorse4%▼ 1
- SoundHound AI4%
- Beyond Meat4%
- Carvana3%
- MicroStrategy3%
- JC Penney3%
- Perplexity AI2%
- Lovable2%
- C3.ai1%▼ 2
- Anthropic1%
- OpenAI1%▼ 1
Largest Company end of December 2026?
71%Apple
- Apple71%▲ 10
- NVIDIA27%▼ 9
- Microsoft1%▲ 1
- Alphabet<1%▼ 1
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 24, 2026even chance by
- November 15, 20264%▲ 2
- November 16, 202610%▲ 7
- November 17, 202625%▲ 14
- November 18, 202627%▲ 9
8 more
- November 19, 202633%▼ 4
- November 20, 202645%▼ 12
- November 23, 202646%▼ 14
- November 24, 202651%▼ 17
- November 25, 202652%▼ 22
- November 30, 202657%▼ 25
- December 15, 202668%▼ 20
- December 31, 202672%▼ 18
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
80%SpaceX
- SpaceX80%▲ 10
- xAI21%
- Anthropic14%▼ 12
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$1.92Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $1.92T.
- Reaches $1.5T80%
- Reaches $1.75T64%
- Reaches $2T44%
- Reaches $2.25T23%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B2%
- Falls to $600B1%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 7 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance