Largest Company end of December 2026?
68%Apple
- Apple68%▲ 10
- NVIDIA31%▼ 11
- Microsoft1%
- Alphabet1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
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Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
The odds
10%Xerox
- Xerox10%▲ 4
- Lucid8%▼ 27
- Workhorse5%
- JetBlue Airways4%▼ 1
- SoundHound AI4%
- Beyond Meat4%
- Carvana3%
- MicroStrategy3%
- JC Penney3%
- Perplexity AI2%
- Lovable2%
- Rivian2%▼ 8
3 more
- C3.ai1%▼ 2
- Anthropic1%▼ 1
- OpenAI1%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Lucid: 5% on Oct 1, 8% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ iRobot | >99% | ▲ 29 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $3.6K |
| Xerox | 10% | ▲ 4 | 8¢ | 12¢ | $3.3K |
| Lucid | 8% | ▼ 27 | 1¢ | 15¢ | $1.2K |
| Workhorse | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $4.7K | |
| JetBlue Airways | 4% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 6¢ | $5.1K |
| SoundHound AI | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $9.3K | |
| Beyond Meat | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $18.8K | |
| Carvana | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $7.4K | |
| MicroStrategy | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $72.5K | |
| JC Penney | 3% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $1.6K | |
| Perplexity AI | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $57.6K | |
| Lovable | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $47.1K | |
| Rivian | 2% | ▼ 8 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $959 |
| C3.ai | 1% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $2.5K |
| Anthropic | 1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 1¢ | $6.8K |
| OpenAI | 1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 1¢ | $18.1K |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 25, 2026even chance by
- November 15, 20262%
- November 16, 20268%▲ 5
- November 17, 202617%▲ 6
- November 18, 202621%▲ 2
8 more
- November 19, 202634%▼ 4
- November 20, 202645%▼ 12
- November 23, 202645%▼ 18
- November 24, 202650%▼ 23
- November 25, 202659%▼ 17
- November 30, 202660%▼ 22
- December 15, 202666%▼ 22
- December 31, 202666%▼ 25
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
83%SpaceX
- SpaceX83%▲ 13
- xAI20%
- Anthropic14%▼ 13
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$1.78Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $1.78T.
- Reaches $1.5T83%
- Reaches $1.75T53%
- Reaches $2T31%
- Reaches $2.25T19%
- Falls to $800B8%
- Falls to $700B1%
- Falls to $600B1%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
29%$1.5–$1.75T
- $1.5–$1.75T29%▲ 6
- $1.25–$1.5T21%▲ 6
- $1.75–$2.0T14%▼ 12
- <$1.25T13%▲ 4
6 more
- $2.0–$2.25T11%▼ 5
- $2.25–$2.5T5%
- No IPO by December 31, 20273%▲ 2
- $2.5–$2.75T2%
- $3.0T+1%
- $2.75–$3.0T1%
AI bubble burst by...?
25%June 30, 2027
- December 31, 20268%
- June 30, 202725%▲ 2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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