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Rivian vehicles delivered in Q1 2027
The odds
28,130median
13,00037,000
Median 28,130Middle half 25,080 – 32,000
How the odds have moved
Median: 26,769 on Oct 3, 28,130 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 15000 | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | 200 | |
| Above 17000 | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | 400 | |
| Above 19000 | 96% | ▲ 1 | 93¢ | 99¢ | 1.4K |
| Above 21000 | 95% | 91¢ | 98¢ | 400 | |
| Above 23000 | 88% | 84¢ | 91¢ | 275 | |
| Above 25000 | 76% | 72¢ | 79¢ | 2.1K | |
| Above 27000 | 63% | 60¢ | 66¢ | 1.3K | |
| Above 29000 | 40% | ▲ 1 | 36¢ | 44¢ | 1.4K |
| Above 31000 | 32% | 28¢ | 36¢ | 443 | |
| Above 33000 | 18% | 14¢ | 22¢ | ||
| Above 35000 | 12% | 8¢ | 16¢ | 236 |
Related markets
All stocks & companies › 70,056median
36,00076,000
Median 70,056Middle half 67,417 – 73,071
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
2%Rivian▼ 8
- Xerox10%▲ 4
- Lucid8%▲ 5
- JetBlue Airways5%▼ 2
- Rivian2%▼ 8
11 more
- Workhorse4%▼ 1
- SoundHound AI4%
- Beyond Meat4%
- Carvana3%▼ 1
- Lovable3%▲ 1
- JC Penney3%▲ 1
- MicroStrategy3%
- Perplexity AI2%
- C3.ai1%▼ 2
- Anthropic1%
- OpenAI1%▼ 1
Largest Company end of December 2026?
70%Apple
- Apple70%▲ 14
- NVIDIA28%▼ 14
- Microsoft1%▲ 1
- Alphabet<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
78%SpaceX
- SpaceX78%▲ 12
- xAI21%
- Anthropic14%▼ 15
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 25, 2026even chance by
- November 15, 20261%
- November 16, 20264%▲ 2
- November 17, 20265%▼ 5
- November 18, 20269%▼ 10
8 more
- November 19, 202624%▼ 13
- November 20, 202641%▼ 17
- November 23, 202649%▼ 19
- November 24, 202649%▼ 19
- November 25, 202656%▼ 17
- November 30, 202661%▼ 21
- December 15, 202668%▼ 20
- December 31, 202668%▼ 20
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
25%$1.5–$1.75T
- $1.5–$1.75T25%▼ 1
- $1.75–$2.0T22%▼ 5
- $2.0–$2.25T16%
- $1.25–$1.5T16%▲ 5
6 more
- <$1.25T11%
- $2.25–$2.5T4%▼ 1
- No IPO by December 31, 20273%▲ 3
- $2.5–$2.75T2%
- $2.75–$3.0T1%
- $3.0T+<1%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance