Jobs numbers in October 2026?

Kalshi Closes Fri 8:29 AM ET · 233.5K contracts · prices read 8 min ago

The odds

67Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 67KMiddle half 32K – 106K

How the odds have moved

Median: 67K on Oct 1, 67K now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above -25,000 97% ▲ 4 96¢ 97¢ 29.3K
Above 0 88% ▼ 6 85¢ 90¢ 13.9K
Above 10,000 87% ▲ 1 84¢ 89¢ 5.3K
Above 20,000 82% ▼ 4 80¢ 84¢ 31.3K
Above 30,000 76% ▲ 3 74¢ 78¢ 33.9K
Above 40,000 71% ▲ 5 70¢ 72¢ 17.3K
Above 50,000 57% ▼ 4 56¢ 57¢ 33.8K
Above 60,000 57% ▲ 2 57¢ 58¢ 5.3K
Above 70,000 47% ▼ 1 45¢ 48¢ 27.7K
Above 80,000 37% ▼ 2 36¢ 37¢ 18.0K
Above 90,000 30% ▼ 5 29¢ 30¢ 3.5K
Above 100,000 28% ▼ 2 26¢ 29¢ 8.3K
Above 125,000 17% ▲ 2 16¢ 17¢ 5.9K

The same question on Polymarket

Shown side by side, not averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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