How many jobs added in October?
57Kmedian
-50K125K
Median 57KMiddle half 28K – 96K
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Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
The odds
$276,689median
$175,000$375,000
Median $276,689Middle half $257,955 – $293,581
How the odds have moved
Median: $270,417 on Oct 1, $276,689 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $200,000 | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | 2.1K | |
| Above $225,000 | 93% | 92¢ | 93¢ | 80.9K | |
| Above $250,000 | 86% | 85¢ | 86¢ | 53.2K | |
| Above $275,000 | 53% | 52¢ | 53¢ | 56.6K | |
| Above $300,000 | 16% | 15¢ | 16¢ | 109.8K | |
| Above $325,000 | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | 18.1K | |
| Above $350,000 | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | 1.2K |
Related markets
All inflation & jobs ›Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?
82Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 82KMiddle half 37K – 122K
Unemployment in October (In Oct 2026)
4.14%median
3.6%5.1%
Median 4.14%Middle half 4.08% – 4.2%
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
84,176median
79,00093,000
Median 84,176Middle half 83,471 – 84,851
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
258,942median
230,000285,000
Median 258,942Middle half 254,022 – 262,708
Visitors to Florida in 2026
141.6median
134150
Median 141.6Middle half 140.3 – 143.0
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance