How many jobs added in October?
67Kmedian
-50K125K
Median 67KMiddle half 36K – 103K
Install
Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
The odds
556,136median
540,000575,000
Median 556,136Middle half 553,047 – 558,409
How the odds have moved
Median: 554,602 on Oct 13, 556,136 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 545,000 jobs | 97% | 96¢ | 97¢ | 26.1K | |
| Above 550,000 jobs | 95% | 94¢ | 95¢ | 34.9K | |
| Above 555,000 jobs | 63% | 62¢ | 63¢ | 88.9K | |
| Above 560,000 jobs | 8% | 7¢ | 8¢ | 36.7K | |
| Above 565,000 jobs | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | 14.2K | |
| Above 570,000 jobs | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | 2.3K |
Related markets
All inflation & jobs ›Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?
75Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 75KMiddle half 28K – 123K
Unemployment in October (In Oct 2026)
4.14%median
3.6%5.1%
Median 4.14%Middle half 4.06% – 4.2%
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
84,176median
79,00093,000
Median 84,176Middle half 83,471 – 84,851
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
258,942median
230,000285,000
Median 258,942Middle half 254,022 – 262,708
Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
$276,689median
$175,000$375,000
Median $276,689Middle half $257,955 – $293,581
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance