NASDAQ-100 price at year-end? (On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST)

Kalshi Closes Dec 31 · 66.6K contracts · prices read 28 min ago

The odds

27,040median

25,00043,000

Median 27,040

How the odds have moved

Median: 31,438 on Oct 3, 27,040 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Contracts
26,000 or above	64%	▼ 14	59¢	69¢	9.0K
27,000 or above	51%	▼ 24	46¢	55¢	7.0K
28,000 or above	38%	▼ 27	36¢	40¢	10.9K
29,000 or above	25%	▼ 22	21¢	29¢	8.4K
30,000 or above	16%	▼ 29	11¢	20¢	4.9K
31,000 or above	8%	▼ 12	5¢	11¢	6.8K
32,000 or above	6%	▼ 6	1¢	11¢	4.2K
33,000 or above	6%	▼ 3	1¢	10¢	7.0K
34,000 or above	3%	▼ 1		6¢	3.4K
35,000 or above	3%	▼ 1		5¢	910
36,000 or above	2%	▼ 1		4¢	887
37,000 or above	2%	▼ 1		5¢	336
38,000 or above	2%	▼ 1		5¢	631
39,000 or above	2%			5¢	57.00
40,000 or above	2%	▼ 1		4¢	231
41,000 or above	2%	▼ 1		4¢	2.00
42,000 or above	2%			4¢	1.9K

Related markets

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Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)

87%chance▼ 7

^GSPC−4.36%IVV−4.41%ES=F+0.21%VOO−4.37%

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

86%S&P 500

S&P 50086%▲ 3
Gold8%▲ 6
Bitcoin6%▼ 5

^GSPC−4.36%VOO−4.37%SPY−4.41%IVV−4.41%

S&P close price end of 2026?

7,592median

3,8009,200

Median 7,592Middle half 7,125 – 7,874Above today's price 66%

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F+0.21%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026?

$754.44high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $754.44 and as low as $707.06.

Reaches $75060%
Reaches $76038%
Reaches $77024%
Reaches $78014%

Falls to $73089%
Falls to $72069%
Falls to $71055%
Falls to $70038%

Already reached: ↓ $760, ↓ $750, ↓ $740, ↑ $760, ↓ $760, ↑ $740

SPY−4.41%^GSPC−4.36%IVV−4.41%VOO−4.37%

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

49%↓ $7,200

Reaches 8,00026%
Reaches 8,20013%
Reaches 8,6003%
Reaches 9,0003%

Falls to 7,20049%
Falls to 7,00049%
Falls to 6,2006%
Falls to 6,0005%

Already reached: ↓ $7,400, ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F+0.21%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?

28,140median

18,50033,500

Median 28,140Middle half 25,612 – 29,827Above today's price 67%

^NDX−6.36%NQ=F+0.47%QQQ−6.49%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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