Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $754.19 and as low as $705.47.
Already reached: ↓ $760, ↓ $750, ↓ $740, ↑ $760, ↓ $760, ↑ $740
Falls to $730: 51% on Oct 25, 90% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ ↑ $740 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $110 | |
| ↑ $750 | 59% | 44¢ | 74¢ | ||
| ✓ ↑ $760 | >99% | ▲ 16 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $60.00 |
| ↑ $760 | 38% | 24¢ | 51¢ | ||
| ↑ $770 | 26% | ▼ 61 | 18¢ | 33¢ | $1.0K |
| ↑ $780 | 14% | ▼ 44 | 11¢ | 16¢ | $2.5K |
| ↑ $790 | 9% | ▼ 25 | 7¢ | 10¢ | $1.5K |
| ↑ $800 | 6% | ▼ 9 | 5¢ | 7¢ | $1.2K |
| ↑ $810 | 5% | ▼ 2 | 3¢ | 7¢ | $1.7K |
| ↑ $820 | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $529 |
| ↑ $830 | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $1.6K | |
| ↓ $680 | 45% | 8¢ | 83¢ | $671 | |
| ↓ $690 | 45% | 11¢ | 83¢ | $710 | |
| ↓ $700 | 45% | ▲ 37 | 33¢ | 53¢ | $8.1K |
| ↓ $710 | 54% | ▲ 47 | 48¢ | 60¢ | $4.9K |
| ↓ $720 | 68% | ▲ 55 | 63¢ | 73¢ | $3.9K |
| ↓ $730 | 90% | ▲ 71 | 87¢ | 93¢ | $4.8K |
| ✓ ↓ $740 | >99% | ▲ 56 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $4.6K |
| ✓ ↓ $750 | >99% | ▲ 47 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $9.5K |
| ✓ ↓ $760 | >99% | ▲ 7 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $357 |
| ✓ ↓ $760 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $111 |
Traders see as low as $726.86.
Already reached: ↑ $765, ↑ $760, ↓ $755, ↓ $750, ↓ $745, ↓ $740
Already reached: ↓ $7,400, ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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