What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

Polymarket Closes Dec 31 · $464.5K traded · prices read just now

The odds

8,039high with an even chance
S&P 500 now 7,688.62 +1.58%

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,039 and as low as 7,284.

  • Reaches 8,00059%
  • Reaches 8,20013%
  • Reaches 8,6004%
  • Reaches 9,0004%
  • Reaches 9,3002%
  • Reaches 10,0001%
  • Falls to 7,40063%
  • Falls to 7,20041%
  • Falls to 7,00034%
  • Falls to 6,2005%
  • Falls to 6,0005%
  • Falls to 5,8005%
  • Falls to 5,2004%
  • Falls to 4,5003%

Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400

How the odds have moved

Falls to 7,000: 30% on Sep 30, 34% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
✓ ↑ $7,400 >99% ▲ 9 100¢ 100¢ $8.9K
✓ ↑ $7,600 >99% ▲ 7 100¢ 100¢ $33.2K
✓ ↑ $7,800 >99% ▲ 18 100¢ 100¢ $9.4K
↑ $8,000 59% ▲ 15 37¢ 81¢ $1.5K
↑ $8,200 13% ▲ 3 11¢ 15¢ $28.5K
↑ $8,600 4% 3¢ 4¢ $41.9K
↑ $9,000 4% 2¢ 7¢ $165
↑ $9,300 2% 1¢ 2¢ $15.3K
↑ $10,000 1% 1¢ 2¢ $472
↓ $4,500 3% ▼ 1 2¢ 4¢ $78.3K
↓ $5,200 4% ▲ 2 3¢ 6¢ $86.4K
↓ $5,800 5% ▼ 1 2¢ 8¢ $54.0K
↓ $6,000 5% ▼ 2 3¢ 7¢ $9.3K
↓ $6,200 5% ▼ 4 4¢ 5¢ $81.2K
✓ ↓ $6,400 >99% ▲ 7 100¢ 100¢ $8.6K
✓ ↓ $6,600 >99% ▲ 8 100¢ 100¢
↓ $7,000 34% ▲ 2 20¢ 47¢ $4.1K
↓ $7,200 41% ▲ 2 25¢ 57¢ $2.4K
↓ $7,400 63% ▼ 2 46¢ 79¢ $895

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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