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Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
The odds
How the odds have moved
Yes: 89% on Oct 3, 87% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
More on this question
All indexes ›What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,003 and as low as 7,226.
- Reaches 8,00051%
- Reaches 8,20014%
- Reaches 8,6004%
- Reaches 9,0004%
- Falls to 7,20043%
- Falls to 7,00043%
- Falls to 6,2006%
- Falls to 6,0005%
Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
- S&P 50086%▲ 1
- Gold9%▲ 6
- Bitcoin6%▼ 5
Which companies added to S&P 500 in Q4 2026?
- Cheniere Energy (LNG)45%▲ 1
- Rocket Companies (RKT)41%▼ 3
- Astera Labs (ALAB)40%▲ 14
- SoFi Technologies (SOFI)36%▲ 2
7 more
- MongoDB (MDB)26%▲ 3
- Credo Technology (CRDO)21%▼ 8
- Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY)16%▲ 2
- HEICO (HEI)13%
- Affirm Holdings (AFRM)9%▼ 6
- Medline (MDLN)6%▲ 1
- Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR)2%
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?
- December 31, 20269%▼ 2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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