Norwegian Cruise passengers carried in 2026

Kalshi Closes Mar 31, 2028 · 69.0K contracts · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

3.53Mmedian
3.05M3.60M
Median 3.53M

How the odds have moved

Median: 3.39M on Oct 1, 3.53M now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 3.1 million 99% 75¢ 3.1K
Above 3.15 million 99% 63¢ 99¢ 10.7K
Above 3.2 million 98% 59¢ 98¢ 11.9K
Above 3.25 million 98% 63¢ 99¢ 19.2K
Above 3.3 million 84% 52¢ 99¢ 15.9K
Above 3.35 million 84% 11¢ 99¢ 1.2K
Above 3.4 million 83% 15¢ 99¢ 5.7K
Above 3.5 million 69% 99¢ 1.0K
Above 3.55 million 39% 13¢ 99¢ 214

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Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 25, 2026even chance by
  • November 15, 20262%
  • November 16, 20264%▲ 1
  • November 17, 20267%▼ 3
  • November 18, 202612%▼ 7
8 more
  • November 19, 202619%▼ 17
  • November 20, 202642%▼ 14
  • November 23, 202649%▼ 16
  • November 24, 202649%▼ 20
  • November 25, 202659%▼ 14
  • November 30, 202664%▼ 21
  • December 15, 202673%▼ 16
  • December 31, 202678%▼ 12

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

24%$1.5–$1.75T
  • $1.5–$1.75T24%
  • $1.75–$2.0T21%▼ 2
  • $1.25–$1.5T16%
  • $2.0–$2.25T16%▼ 1
6 more
  • <$1.25T13%▲ 3
  • $2.25–$2.5T5%
  • No IPO by December 31, 20273%▲ 3
  • $2.5–$2.75T2%
  • $2.75–$3.0T1%
  • $3.0T+<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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