Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q1 2027

Kalshi Closes Aug 31, 2027 · 5.2K contracts · prices read 29 min ago

The odds

1.03Mmedian

980,0001.56M

Median 1.03M

How the odds have moved

Median: 1.10M on Nov 2, 1.03M now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Contracts
Above 990 thousand	67%		62¢	71¢	100
Above 1000 thousand	61%		56¢	65¢	100
Above 1010 thousand	55%		50¢	59¢
Above 1020 thousand	53%		48¢	57¢	138
Above 1030 thousand	48%		43¢	52¢	732
Above 1040 thousand	42%		38¢	46¢	132
Above 1050 thousand	37%		32¢	41¢	132
Above 1060 thousand	33%		28¢	37¢	132
Above 1070 thousand	28%	▼ 3	24¢	33¢	3.1K
Above 1080 thousand	24%		19¢	28¢	132
Above 1090 thousand	20%		15¢	24¢	132
Above 1100 thousand	17%		12¢	21¢	198
Above 1330 thousand	4%		1¢	7¢	198

Related markets

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Norwegian Cruise passengers carried in 2026

3.53Mmedian

3.05M3.60M

Median 3.53M

NCLH−4.52%

Companies removed from the S&P 500 in Q4? (Q4 2026)

26%Norwegian Cruise Line

Kenvue96%▼ 1
AES31%
Paramount Skydance30%
Norwegian Cruise Line26%

10 more

Alexandria Real Estate11%
Brown-Forman9%
Hormel Foods9%
Skyworks Solutions9%
Dow9%
LyondellBasell Industries9%
Solventum9%
Hasbro9%
Deckers Outdoor8%
A. O. Smith8%

SWKS−2.06%SOLV−2.43%NCLH−4.52%LYB−2.11%

Largest Company end of December 2026?

70%Apple

Apple70%▲ 9
NVIDIA28%▼ 9
Microsoft1%
Alphabet<1%▼ 1

4 more

SpaceX<1%
Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Amazon<1%

SPCX−9.05%NVDA−9.26%MSFT−3.58%GOOGL−2.20%

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

83%SpaceX

SpaceX83%▲ 16
xAI20%
Anthropic14%▼ 16
OpenAI<1%

9 more

ByteDance<1%
Stripe<1%
Databricks<1%
SHEIN<1%
Waymo<1%
Revolut<1%
Discord<1%
Perplexity AI<1%
Kraken<1%

SPCX−9.05%

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 23, 2026even chance by

November 15, 20262%
November 16, 202610%▲ 7
November 17, 202634%▲ 25
November 18, 202634%▲ 16

8 more

November 19, 202642%▲ 6
November 20, 202650%▼ 4
November 23, 202650%▼ 14
November 24, 202654%▼ 14
November 25, 202659%▼ 14
November 30, 202666%▼ 19
December 15, 202673%▼ 16
December 31, 202678%▼ 11

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

24%$1.5–$1.75T

$1.5–$1.75T24%▼ 1
$1.75–$2.0T21%▼ 2
$1.25–$1.5T16%▲ 1
$2.0–$2.25T16%▼ 1

6 more

<$1.25T13%▲ 3
$2.25–$2.5T4%▼ 1
No IPO by December 31, 20273%▲ 3
$2.5–$2.75T2%
$2.75–$3.0T1%
$3.0T+<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 9 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onFiscal.ai

Trading closesAug 31, 2027 6:00 AM ET

Traded5.2K contracts

Prices read29 min ago

Followed sinceOct 30, 2026

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

What it is about

Norwegian Cruise Line HoldingsNCLH · about the company17.76−4.52%

Reading the odds

Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.

Every prediction market

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance