Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
87%chance▼ 7
Install
Will the NASDAQ-100 finish positive in 2026?
The odds
72%chance▼ 17
How the odds have moved
Yes: 85% on Oct 1, 72% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Related markets
All indexes ›Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
86%S&P 500
- S&P 50086%▲ 3
- Gold8%▲ 6
- Bitcoin6%▼ 5
S&P close price end of 2026?
7,592median
3,8009,200
Median 7,592Middle half 7,125 – 7,874Above today's price 66%
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026?
$754.44high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $754.44 and as low as $707.06.
- Reaches $75060%
- Reaches $76038%
- Reaches $77024%
- Reaches $78014%
- Falls to $73089%
- Falls to $72069%
- Falls to $71055%
- Falls to $70038%
Already reached: ↓ $760, ↓ $750, ↓ $740, ↑ $760, ↓ $760, ↑ $740
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
49%↓ $7,200
- Reaches 8,00026%
- Reaches 8,20013%
- Reaches 8,6003%
- Reaches 9,0003%
- Falls to 7,20049%
- Falls to 7,00049%
- Falls to 6,2006%
- Falls to 6,0005%
Already reached: ↓ $7,400, ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400
Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
28,140median
18,50033,500
Median 28,140Middle half 25,612 – 29,827Above today's price 67%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance