Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 31, 2026

Kalshi Closes today 8:25 AM ET · 14.3K contracts · prices read 21 min ago

The odds

197,348median
165,000225,000
Median 197,348Middle half 193,061 – 201,705

How the odds have moved

Median: 196,429 on Oct 30, 197,348 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
At least 170,000 98% 95¢
At least 175,000 98% 95¢
At least 180,000 97% 94¢ 99¢ 30.00
At least 185,000 95% ▲ 1 91¢ 99¢ 11.00
At least 190,000 90% ▲ 1 89¢ 91¢ 778
At least 195,000 66% ▼ 2 64¢ 67¢ 2.8K
At least 200,000 33% ▼ 1 30¢ 35¢ 4.5K
At least 205,000 11% 10¢ 11¢ 2.6K
At least 210,000 3% 1¢ 5¢ 453
At least 215,000 3% ▲ 1 1¢ 4¢ 3.2K
At least 220,000 1% ▼ 1 1¢

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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