S&P 500 Daily Up/Down (Nov 5, 2026)

Kalshi Closed today 4:00 PM ET · 18.4K contracts

Settled NoA day before, traders gave it 56%

The last odds before it closed

—chance

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

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S&P 500 Daily Up/Down (Nov 6, 2026)

60%chance

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F+0.13%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

S&P price range on Nov 6, 2026 at 4pm EST?

7,480median

7,3258,075

Median 7,480Middle half 7,360 – 7,583Above today's price 79%

^GSPC−4.36%IVV−4.41%ES=F+0.13%VOO−4.37%

S&P close price end of 2026?

7,589median

3,8009,200

Median 7,589Middle half 7,113 – 7,863Above today's price 66%

^GSPC−4.36%VOO−4.37%SPY−4.41%IVV−4.41%

What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

7,310median

5,5008,500

Median 7,310Middle half 6,796 – 7,824Above today's price 48%

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F+0.13%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

50%↓ $7,200

Reaches 8,00018%
Reaches 8,20012%
Reaches 8,6003%
Reaches 9,0003%

Falls to 7,20050%
Falls to 7,00050%
Falls to 6,2007%
Falls to 6,0005%

Already reached: ↓ $7,400, ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F+0.13%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)

86%chance▼ 8

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F+0.13%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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