S&P 500 Daily Up/Down (Nov 6, 2026)

Kalshi Closes today 4:00 PM ET · 771 contracts · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

56%chance

S&P 500 now 7,353.73 −4.36%

How the odds have moved

Yes: 61% on Nov 6, 56% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

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S&P close price end of 2026?

7,603median

3,8009,200

Median 7,603Middle half 7,142 – 7,875Above today's price 67%

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F−0.03%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

7,324median

5,5008,500

Median 7,324Middle half 6,808 – 7,832Above today's price 48%

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F−0.03%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

50%↓ $7,200

Reaches 8,00024%
Reaches 8,20012%
Reaches 8,6003%
Reaches 9,0003%

Falls to 7,20050%
Falls to 7,00050%
Falls to 6,2007%
Falls to 6,0005%

Already reached: ↓ $7,400, ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400

^GSPC−4.36%VOO−4.37%SPY−4.41%IVV−4.41%

Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)

87%chance▼ 7

^GSPC−4.36%IVV−4.41%ES=F−0.03%VOO−4.37%

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

86%S&P 500

S&P 50086%▲ 3
Gold9%▲ 4
Bitcoin5%▼ 6

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F−0.03%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?

8%December 31, 2026

December 31, 20268%▼ 9

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F−0.03%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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