S&P price at year-end? (On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST)

Kalshi Closes Dec 31 · 65.4K contracts · prices read 34 min ago

The odds

7,564median

6,8008,600

Median 7,564Middle half 7,212 – 7,780

How the odds have moved

Median: 7,873 on Oct 13, 7,564 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Contracts
6,900 or above	89%	▼ 9	83¢	91¢	3.4K
7,000 or above	89%	▲ 5	90¢	92¢	2.3K
7,100 or above	81%	▼ 7	76¢	86¢	1.1K
7,200 or above	76%	▼ 9	69¢	81¢	863
7,300 or above	68%	▼ 19	64¢	71¢	3.6K
7,400 or above	59%	▼ 16	56¢	61¢	3.5K
7,500 or above	55%	▼ 11	50¢	59¢	2.5K
7,600 or above	48%	▼ 14	44¢	51¢	13.5K
7,700 or above	35%	▼ 12	26¢	37¢	6.4K
7,800 or above	23%	▼ 22	21¢	24¢	11.8K
7,900 or above	21%	▼ 6	14¢	24¢	6.6K
8,000 or above	21%	▲ 1	5¢	22¢	4.0K
8,100 or above	10%	▼ 9	5¢	14¢	715
8,200 or above	7%	▼ 3		14¢	1.4K
8,300 or above	7%	▲ 3	4¢	12¢	945
8,400 or above	5%	▲ 1	2¢	8¢	696
8,500 or above	3%		1¢	5¢	2.2K

Related markets

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Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)

87%chance▼ 6

^GSPC−4.36%IVV−4.41%ES=F−4.70%VOO−4.37%

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

86%S&P 500

S&P 50086%▲ 1
Gold9%▲ 6
Bitcoin6%▼ 5

^GSPC−4.36%VOO−4.37%SPY−4.41%IVV−4.41%

S&P close price end of 2026?

7,568median

3,8009,200

Median 7,568Middle half 7,088 – 7,862Above today's price 64%

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F−4.70%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

8,003high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,003 and as low as 7,226.

Reaches 8,00051%
Reaches 8,20014%
Reaches 8,6004%
Reaches 9,0004%

Falls to 7,20043%
Falls to 7,00043%
Falls to 6,2006%
Falls to 6,0005%

Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F−4.70%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026?

$751.03high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $751.03 and as low as $704.29.

Reaches $75052%
Reaches $76033%
Reaches $77023%
Reaches $78013%

Falls to $73092%
Falls to $72073%
Falls to $71058%
Falls to $70044%

Already reached: ↓ $760, ↓ $750, ↓ $740, ↑ $760, ↓ $760, ↑ $740

SPY−4.41%^GSPC−4.36%IVV−4.41%VOO−4.37%

Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?

28,159median

18,50033,500

Median 28,159Middle half 25,728 – 30,017Above today's price 67%

^NDX−6.36%NQ=F−6.88%QQQ−6.49%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance