How high will the Dow Jones Industrial Average get in 2026?
25%At least $55,000
54,00061,000
Above today's price —
Install
Which companies will be removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 2026?
The odds
15%Nike
Dow 30 now 51,559.97 −3.37% - Nike15%▼ 2
- Goldman Sachs Group9%
- Sherwin-Williams8%
- Home Depot6%
- Travelers Cos6%
- American Express6%
- Caterpillar5%
- Amgen4%
- Salesforce4%
- Procter & Gamble3%
- Cisco Systems2%
- Amazon2%
16 more
- Apple2%
- Boeing2%
- Chevron2%
- Coca-Cola2%
- Honeywell International2%
- International Business Machines Corp2%
- Johnson & Johnson2%
- JPMorgan Chase2%
- McDonald's2%
- Merck2%
- Microsoft2%
- NVIDIA2%
- UnitedHealth Group2%
- Visa2%
- Walmart2%
- Walt Disney2%
How the odds have moved
Nike: 32% on Oct 2, 15% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nike | 15% | ▼ 2 | 13¢ | 19¢ | 2.2K |
| Goldman Sachs Group | 9% | 6¢ | 13¢ | 743 | |
| Sherwin-Williams | 8% | 6¢ | 12¢ | 327 | |
| Home Depot | 6% | 4¢ | 10¢ | 218 | |
| Travelers Cos | 6% | 4¢ | 10¢ | 1.5K | |
| American Express | 6% | 3¢ | 10¢ | 430 | |
| Caterpillar | 5% | 3¢ | 9¢ | 19.00 | |
| Amgen | 4% | 2¢ | 7¢ | ||
| Salesforce | 4% | 2¢ | 7¢ | 2.00 | |
| Procter & Gamble | 3% | 6¢ | 72.00 | ||
| Cisco Systems | 2% | 5¢ | 16.00 | ||
| Amazon | 2% | 4¢ | 3.00 | ||
| Apple | 2% | 4¢ | |||
| Boeing | 2% | 4¢ | 94.00 | ||
| Chevron | 2% | 4¢ | 786 | ||
| Coca-Cola | 2% | 4¢ | |||
| Honeywell International | 2% | 4¢ | 141 | ||
| International Business Machines Corp | 2% | 4¢ | 4.00 | ||
| Johnson & Johnson | 2% | 4¢ | |||
| JPMorgan Chase | 2% | 4¢ | 2.00 | ||
| McDonald's | 2% | 4¢ | 65.00 | ||
| Merck | 2% | 4¢ | |||
| Microsoft | 2% | 4¢ | |||
| NVIDIA | 2% | 4¢ | 2.00 | ||
| UnitedHealth Group | 2% | 4¢ | 2.00 | ||
| Visa | 2% | 4¢ | 2.00 | ||
| Walmart | 2% | 4¢ | 1.00 | ||
| Walt Disney | 2% | 4¢ | 61.00 |
More on this question
All indexes ›Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
88%chance▼ 5
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
86%S&P 500
- S&P 50086%▲ 1
- Gold8%▲ 6
- Bitcoin6%▼ 6
S&P close price end of 2026?
7,583median
3,8009,200
Median 7,583Middle half 7,111 – 7,872Above today's price 65%
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
35%↓ $7,200
Traders see as low as 7,274.
- Reaches 8,00025%
- Reaches 8,20014%
- Reaches 8,6004%
- Reaches 9,0004%
- Falls to 7,20035%
- Falls to 7,00030%
- Falls to 6,2006%
- Falls to 6,0006%
Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026?
$753.86high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $753.86 and as low as $708.67.
- Reaches $740>99%
- Reaches $75059%
- Reaches $76037%
- Reaches $77024%
- Falls to $73088%
- Falls to $72067%
- Falls to $71052%
- Falls to $70037%
Already reached: ↓ $760, ↓ $750, ↓ $740, ↑ $760, ↓ $760
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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