Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q1 2027
257,143median
200,000285,000
Median 257,143Middle half 250,000 – 264,643
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Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026
The odds
825,370median
770,000920,000
Median 825,370Middle half 820,741 – 830,000
How the odds have moved
Median: 826,316 on Oct 13, 825,370 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 780 thousand | 96% | 92¢ | 99¢ | 515 | |
| Above 790 thousand | 95% | ▼ 1 | 91¢ | 98¢ | 147 |
| Above 800 thousand | 89% | ▼ 1 | 86¢ | 92¢ | 1.4K |
| Above 810 thousand | 87% | ▼ 1 | 83¢ | 90¢ | 1.2K |
| Above 820 thousand | 79% | 75¢ | 83¢ | 1.2K | |
| Above 830 thousand | 25% | 21¢ | 29¢ | 823 | |
| Above 840 thousand | 12% | ▼ 5 | 8¢ | 15¢ | 2.7K |
| Above 850 thousand | 7% | 3¢ | 11¢ | 293 | |
| Above 860 thousand | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | ||
| Above 870 thousand | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | 6.00 | |
| Above 880 thousand | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | 300 | |
| Above 890 thousand | 5% | 2¢ | 8¢ | 1.6K | |
| Above 900 thousand | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | 3.7K | |
| Above 910 thousand | 4% | 8¢ | 3.4K |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
4%Carvana
- Xerox9%▲ 3
- Lucid8%▲ 5
- JetBlue Airways5%▼ 2
- Carvana4%
11 more
- Workhorse4%▼ 1
- SoundHound AI4%
- Beyond Meat4%
- MicroStrategy3%
- JC Penney3%
- Lovable3%
- Perplexity AI2%
- Rivian2%▼ 8
- C3.ai1%▼ 2
- Anthropic1%
- OpenAI1%▼ 1
Largest Company end of December 2026?
70%Apple
- Apple70%▲ 16
- NVIDIA27%▼ 14
- Microsoft1%▲ 1
- Alphabet<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
80%SpaceX
- SpaceX80%▲ 14
- xAI21%
- Anthropic14%▼ 15
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 25, 2026even chance by
- November 15, 20261%
- November 16, 20264%▲ 1
- November 17, 20265%▼ 5
- November 18, 20269%▼ 9
8 more
- November 19, 202623%▼ 14
- November 20, 202641%▼ 18
- November 23, 202648%▼ 19
- November 24, 202649%▼ 20
- November 25, 202658%▼ 14
- November 30, 202663%▼ 20
- December 15, 202668%▼ 21
- December 31, 202668%▼ 23
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
25%$1.5–$1.75T
- $1.5–$1.75T25%▼ 1
- $1.75–$2.0T22%▼ 5
- $2.0–$2.25T16%
- $1.25–$1.5T16%▲ 4
6 more
- <$1.25T11%
- $2.25–$2.5T4%▼ 1
- No IPO by December 31, 20273%▲ 3
- $2.5–$2.75T2%
- $2.75–$3.0T1%
- $3.0T+<1%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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