Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026
825,370median
770,000920,000
Median 825,370Middle half 820,741 – 830,000
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Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q1 2027
The odds
257,143median
200,000285,000
Median 257,143Middle half 250,000 – 264,643
How the odds have moved
Median: 257,368 on Nov 2, 257,143 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 220000 | 96% | 93¢ | 99¢ | 132 | |
| Above 240000 | 92% | 88¢ | 96¢ | 132 | |
| Above 245000 | 86% | 82¢ | 90¢ | 132 | |
| Above 250000 | 75% | 71¢ | 79¢ | 132 | |
| Above 255000 | 59% | 55¢ | 63¢ | 132 | |
| Above 260000 | 38% | ▼ 2 | 36¢ | 40¢ | 132 |
| Above 265000 | 24% | 20¢ | 28¢ | 157 | |
| Above 270000 | 13% | 9¢ | 17¢ | 238 | |
| Above 275000 | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | ||
| Above 280000 | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?
3%Carvana
- Xerox9%▲ 3
- Lucid8%▼ 31
- JetBlue Airways4%▼ 2
- Carvana3%
11 more
- Workhorse4%▼ 1
- SoundHound AI4%
- Beyond Meat4%
- MicroStrategy3%
- JC Penney3%
- Perplexity AI2%
- Rivian2%▼ 8
- Lovable2%
- C3.ai1%▼ 2
- Anthropic1%
- OpenAI1%▼ 1
Largest Company end of December 2026?
73%Apple
- Apple73%▲ 11
- NVIDIA26%▼ 11
- Microsoft1%▲ 1
- Alphabet<1%▼ 1
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 22, 2026even chance by
- November 15, 20263%▲ 1
- November 16, 202610%▲ 7
- November 17, 202625%▲ 14
- November 18, 202629%▲ 14
8 more
- November 19, 202629%▼ 11
- November 20, 202649%▼ 8
- November 23, 202652%▼ 9
- November 24, 202653%▼ 13
- November 25, 202653%▼ 22
- November 30, 202658%▼ 24
- December 15, 202668%▼ 21
- December 31, 202672%▼ 17
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
80%SpaceX
- SpaceX80%▲ 10
- xAI21%
- Anthropic14%▼ 13
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$1.92Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $1.92T.
- Reaches $1.5T81%
- Reaches $1.75T63%
- Reaches $2T44%
- Reaches $2.25T23%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B3%
- Falls to $600B1%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance