AI bubble burst by...?

Polymarket Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $3.2M traded · prices read 3 min ago

The odds

21%June 30, 2027
  • December 31, 202610%▲ 3
  • June 30, 202721%▼ 3

How the odds have moved

December 31, 2026: 9% on Sep 30, 10% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
December 31, 2025 <1% 0¢ $203.0K
March 31, 2026 <1% 0¢ $385.0K
December 31, 2026 10% ▲ 3 10¢ 10¢ $2.6M
June 30, 2027 21% ▼ 3 20¢ 21¢ $59.2K

Related markets

All stocks & companies ›

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 25, 2026even chance by
  • November 15, 20261%
  • November 16, 20264%▲ 1
  • November 17, 20265%▼ 5
  • November 18, 20269%▼ 9
8 more
  • November 19, 202622%▼ 15
  • November 20, 202639%▼ 19
  • November 23, 202648%▼ 19
  • November 24, 202648%▼ 21
  • November 25, 202654%▼ 19
  • November 30, 202657%▼ 25
  • December 15, 202670%▼ 20
  • December 31, 202671%▼ 20

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

25%$1.5–$1.75T
  • $1.5–$1.75T25%▲ 1
  • $1.75–$2.0T22%▼ 5
  • $1.25–$1.5T17%▲ 5
  • $2.0–$2.25T16%▼ 1
6 more
  • <$1.25T11%
  • $2.25–$2.5T4%
  • No IPO by December 31, 20274%▲ 4
  • $2.5–$2.75T2%
  • $2.75–$3.0T1%
  • $3.0T+<1%▼ 1

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.01Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.01T.

  • Reaches $1.5T79%
  • Reaches $1.75T61%
  • Reaches $2T51%
  • Reaches $2.25T26%
  • Falls to $800B4%
  • Falls to $700B2%
  • Falls to $600B1%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

Nov 28, 2026even chance by
  • Before Nov 16, 202610%▲ 2
  • Before Dec 1, 202663%▼ 20
  • Before Jan 1, 202775%▼ 12
  • Before Feb 1, 202787%▼ 4
2 more
  • Before Mar 1, 202790%▼ 2
  • Before Apr 1, 202790%▼ 5
KalshiCloses Mar 31, 2027 · 4.3M contracts

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance