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Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
The odds
59,269median
Nikkei 225 now 57,576.41 −5.73% 50,00090,000
Median 59,269Middle half 56,438 – 67,398Above today's price 65%
How the odds have moved
Median: 71,116 on Oct 2, 59,269 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <55,000 | 12% | 11¢ | 16¢ | $1.3K | |
| 55,000-60,000 | 44% | ▲ 40 | 19¢ | 79¢ | $512 |
| 60,000-65,000 | 11% | 1¢ | 24¢ | $779 | |
| 65,000-70,000 | 16% | ▲ 2 | 1¢ | 34¢ | $637 |
| 70,000-75,000 | 5% | ▼ 14 | 4¢ | 6¢ | $18.3K |
| 75,000-80,000 | 6% | 6¢ | 6¢ | $10.6K | |
| 80,000-85,000 | 3% | ▼ 3 | 1¢ | 6¢ | $634 |
| 85,000+ | 4% | ▼ 2 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $677 |
More on this question
All indexes › 3%At least ¥73,000
72,00081,000
Above today's price —
Bank of Japan Decision in December?
78%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase78%▼ 13
- No change18%▲ 8
- 50+ bps increase1%
- 25 bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%▼ 1
Bank of Japan Decision in March?
48%No Change
- No Change48%
- 25 bps increase40%▼ 2
- 25 bps decrease3%▼ 1
- 50+ bps decrease3%▼ 1
1 more
- 50+ bps increase3%
Bank of Japan Decision in January?
71%No Change
- No Change71%
- 25 bps increase26%▲ 3
- 50+ bps increase2%▼ 1
- 50+ bps decrease2%▼ 1
1 more
- 25 bps decrease1%
Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
87%chance▼ 7
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
86%S&P 500
- S&P 50086%▲ 3
- Gold8%▲ 6
- Bitcoin6%▼ 5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance