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How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
The odds
3%At least ¥73,000
Nikkei 225 now 57,858.61 −5.27% 72,00081,000
Above today's price —
How the odds have moved
At least ¥73,000: 40% on Oct 13, 3% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least ¥73,000 | 3% | ▼ 2 | 5¢ | 7.5K | |
| At least ¥74,000 | 2% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 3¢ | 6.7K |
| At least ¥75,000 | 2% | ▼ 2 | 4¢ | 3.4K | |
| At least ¥76,000 | 2% | ▼ 2 | 5¢ | 3.5K | |
| At least ¥77,000 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 2.9K | |
| At least ¥78,000 | 2% | ▼ 2 | 2¢ | 2.6K | |
| At least ¥79,000 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 3.1K | |
| At least ¥80,000 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 68.00 |
More on this question
All indexes › 59,225median
50,00090,000
Median 59,225Middle half 56,416 – 67,343Above today's price 62%
Bank of Japan Decision in December?
80%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase80%▼ 10
- No change17%▲ 7
- 50+ bps increase1%
- 25 bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%▼ 1
Bank of Japan Decision in March?
48%No Change
- No Change48%
- 25 bps increase40%▼ 2
- 25 bps decrease3%▼ 1
- 50+ bps decrease3%▼ 1
1 more
- 50+ bps increase3%
Bank of Japan Decision in January?
71%No Change
- No Change71%
- 25 bps increase26%▲ 3
- 50+ bps increase2%▼ 1
- 50+ bps decrease2%▼ 1
1 more
- 25 bps decrease1%
Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
87%chance▼ 7
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
86%S&P 500
- S&P 50086%▲ 3
- Gold8%▲ 6
- Bitcoin6%▼ 5
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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