Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026

Kalshi Closes Dec 31 · 9.8K contracts · prices read 39 min ago

The odds

17%Above .7%
10Y Yield now 4.837 −1.16%
0.6%1.1%

How the odds have moved

Above .7%: 81% on Oct 6, 17% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above .7% 17% ▲ 4 12¢ 22¢ 2.4K
Above .8% 9% ▲ 2 4¢ 14¢ 2.5K
Above .9% 8% ▲ 1 4¢ 12¢ 1.7K
Above 1.00% 7% ▲ 1 2¢ 12¢ 3.3K

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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