What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of November 2 2026?

Polymarket Closes Fri 4:00 PM ET · $23.1K traded · prices read 14 min ago

The odds

52%↓ $725

SPY now 733.00 −4.41%

Traders see as low as $724.72.

Reaches $74529%
Reaches $75017%
Reaches $75517%
Reaches $76017%
Reaches $77017%
Reaches $77517%
Reaches $78017%
Reaches $78517%

Falls to $73065%
Falls to $72552%
Falls to $72020%

Already reached: ↑ $765, ↑ $760, ↓ $755, ↓ $750, ↓ $745, ↓ $740

How the odds have moved

Falls to $745: 47% on Oct 31, >99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Traded
✓ ↑ $740	>99%		100¢	100¢	$10.00
↑ $745	29%		14¢	44¢	$5.00
↑ $750	17%		1¢	29¢
✓ ↑ $755	>99%		100¢	100¢	$5.00
↑ $755	17%		1¢	22¢
✓ ↑ $760	>99%	▲ 20	100¢	100¢
✓ ↑ $760	>99%	▲ 28	100¢	100¢	$105
↑ $760	17%		1¢	30¢
✓ ↑ $765	>99%	▲ 53	100¢	100¢	$357
↑ $770	17%	▼ 46		18¢	$752
↑ $775	17%	▼ 10		18¢	$2.0K
↑ $780	17%	▲ 3		20¢	$1.3K
↑ $785	17%			9¢	$162
↑ $790	17%	▲ 23		65¢	$2.00
↑ $795	17%	▲ 1		91¢	$5.00
↓ $720	20%		5¢	35¢	$34.00
↓ $725	52%	▲ 47	38¢	66¢	$1.0K
↓ $730	65%	▲ 63	58¢	71¢	$2.1K
✓ ↓ $735	>99%	▲ 95	100¢	100¢	$3.3K
✓ ↓ $740	>99%	▲ 91	100¢	100¢	$2.0K
✓ ↓ $745	>99%	▲ 91	100¢	100¢	$7.0K
✓ ↓ $750	>99%	▲ 82	100¢	100¢	$1.4K
✓ ↓ $755	>99%	▲ 24	100¢	100¢	$124
✓ ↓ $755	>99%		100¢	100¢	$411
✓ ↓ $760	>99%		100¢	100¢	$395
✓ ↓ $765	>99%		100¢	100¢	$696

More on this question

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What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026?

$753.26high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $753.26 and as low as $705.35.

Reaches $75057%
Reaches $76036%
Reaches $77024%
Reaches $78014%

Falls to $73091%
Falls to $72069%
Falls to $71055%
Falls to $70045%

Already reached: ↓ $760, ↓ $750, ↓ $740, ↑ $760, ↓ $760, ↑ $740

SPY−4.41%^GSPC−4.36%IVV−4.41%VOO−4.37%

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 6?

28%$740

$735$795

SPY−4.41%VOO−4.37%IVV−4.41%^GSPC−4.36%

S&P close price end of 2026?

7,608median

3,8009,200

Median 7,608Middle half 7,167 – 7,882Above today's price 67%

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F+0.04%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

7,323median

5,5008,500

Median 7,323Middle half 6,815 – 7,833Above today's price 48%

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F+0.04%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

48%↓ $7,200

Reaches 8,00026%
Reaches 8,20013%
Reaches 8,6003%
Reaches 9,0003%

Falls to 7,20048%
Falls to 7,00048%
Falls to 6,2006%
Falls to 6,0005%

Already reached: ↓ $7,400, ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F+0.04%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

How low will the S&P get this year? (In 2026)

14%6,300 or below

Falls to 6,30014%
Falls to 6,2008%
Falls to 6,1007%
Falls to 6,0005%

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F+0.04%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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