Largest Company end of December 2026?
67%Apple
- Apple67%▲ 10
- NVIDIA31%▼ 10
- Microsoft1%
- Alphabet<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Install
Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above __?
The odds
$375.38Mmedian
$280M$480M
Median $375.38MMiddle half $342.09M – $416.36M
How the odds have moved
Median: $340.15M on Oct 16, $375.38M now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $320M | 94% | ▲ 1 | 89¢ | 98¢ | $506 |
| $360M | 60% | 31¢ | 89¢ | $723 | |
| $400M | 34% | 28¢ | 40¢ | $100 | |
| $440M | 12% | ▼ 3 | 10¢ | 14¢ | $985 |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 24, 2026even chance by
- November 15, 20263%▲ 1
- November 16, 20268%▲ 6
- November 17, 202620%▲ 9
- November 18, 202621%▲ 2
8 more
- November 19, 202631%▼ 5
- November 20, 202644%▼ 13
- November 23, 202644%▼ 14
- November 24, 202651%▼ 18
- November 25, 202654%▼ 20
- November 30, 202660%▼ 22
- December 15, 202669%▼ 19
- December 31, 202671%▼ 20
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
80%SpaceX
- SpaceX80%▲ 10
- xAI21%
- Anthropic14%▼ 14
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$1.86Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $1.86T.
- Reaches $1.5T77%
- Reaches $1.75T59%
- Reaches $2T39%
- Reaches $2.25T23%
- Falls to $800B8%
- Falls to $700B3%
- Falls to $600B1%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
29%$1.5–$1.75T
- $1.5–$1.75T29%▲ 6
- $1.25–$1.5T21%▲ 4
- <$1.25T14%▲ 4
- $1.75–$2.0T13%▼ 14
6 more
- $2.0–$2.25T12%▼ 5
- $2.25–$2.5T6%▲ 1
- No IPO by December 31, 20273%▲ 3
- $2.5–$2.75T2%
- $2.75–$3.0T1%
- $3.0T+1%
AI bubble burst by...?
24%June 30, 2027
- December 31, 20268%
- June 30, 202724%▲ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance