Install
Cloudflare customers over $100k ARR in Q3 (paying customers with over $100k arr in Q3 2026)
The odds
4,988median
4,8005,250
Median 4,988Middle half 4,961 – 5,030
How the odds have moved
Median: 4,962 on Oct 13, 4,988 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4850 | 96% | ▲ 14 | 95¢ | 96¢ | 394 |
| Above 4900 | 96% | ▲ 22 | 96¢ | 97¢ | 211 |
| Above 4950 | 86% | ▲ 9 | 83¢ | 88¢ | 859 |
| Above 5000 | 39% | 63¢ | 91¢ | 200 | |
| Above 5050 | 16% | 45¢ | 82¢ | 200 | |
| Above 5150 | 16% | 2¢ | 92¢ | 240 | |
| Above 5200 | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ |
Related markets
All stocks & companies › 5,291median
5,1005,550
Median 5,291Middle half 5,239 – 5,385
Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q4? (Q4 2026)
7%Cloudflare
- Twilio98%
- Cheniere Energy32%
- Astera Labs26%▲ 1
- Cloudflare7%
31 more
- Okta22%
- Credo Technology16%▲ 1
- Alnylam Pharmaceuticals14%▼ 1
- MongoDB12%
- SoFi12%▼ 3
- Affirm Holdings11%
- HEICO9%▲ 1
- Rocket Companies9%▼ 1
- Southern Copper9%▼ 1
- LPL Financial9%
- ATI9%
- Tradeweb Markets9%
- Venture Global9%
- TPG9%
- Snowflake9%
- Atlassian9%
- Natera9%
- Talen Energy8%
- Zoom7%▲ 1
- Curtiss-Wright7%
- Toast7%
- Roblox6%
- BWX Technologies6%▲ 3
- SpaceX6%
- Medline4%
- CoreWeave4%
- Circle Internet Group3%
- Guidewire Software3%
- Duolingo3%
- Strategy (MicroStrategy)2%
- Cerebras2%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
70%Apple
- Apple70%▲ 12
- NVIDIA27%▼ 12
- Microsoft1%▲ 1
- Alphabet1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
79%SpaceX
- SpaceX79%▲ 12
- xAI21%
- Anthropic14%▼ 15
- OpenAI<1%
9 more
- ByteDance<1%
- Stripe<1%
- Databricks<1%
- SHEIN<1%
- Waymo<1%
- Revolut<1%
- Discord<1%
- Perplexity AI<1%
- Kraken<1%
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 25, 2026even chance by
- November 15, 20262%
- November 16, 20264%▲ 1
- November 17, 20265%▼ 5
- November 18, 20268%▼ 11
8 more
- November 19, 202620%▼ 16
- November 20, 202636%▼ 21
- November 23, 202646%▼ 22
- November 24, 202649%▼ 20
- November 25, 202656%▼ 18
- November 30, 202664%▼ 21
- December 15, 202670%▼ 18
- December 31, 202673%▼ 15
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
24%$1.5–$1.75T
- $1.5–$1.75T24%▼ 3
- $1.75–$2.0T22%▼ 5
- $1.25–$1.5T16%▲ 5
- $2.0–$2.25T16%▼ 1
6 more
- <$1.25T13%▲ 3
- $2.25–$2.5T4%▼ 1
- No IPO by December 31, 20274%▲ 3
- $2.5–$2.75T2%
- $2.75–$3.0T1%
- $3.0T+<1%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance