FDA decision: Ivonescimab by Summit Therapeutics (in 2026)

Kalshi Closes Dec 31 · 11.0K contracts · prices read 31 min ago

The odds

64%chance▲ 10

How the odds have moved

Yes: 54% on Oct 13, 64% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

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Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 20, 2026even chance by
  • November 15, 20262%
  • November 16, 202610%▲ 7
  • November 17, 202632%▲ 21
  • November 18, 202635%▲ 16
8 more
  • November 19, 202642%▲ 6
  • November 20, 202657%▲ 2
  • November 23, 202657%▼ 5
  • November 24, 202657%▼ 12
  • November 25, 202660%▼ 13
  • November 30, 202661%▼ 24
  • December 15, 202673%▼ 16
  • December 31, 202674%▼ 16

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

24%$1.5–$1.75T
  • $1.5–$1.75T24%
  • $1.75–$2.0T22%▼ 5
  • $1.25–$1.5T16%▲ 1
  • $2.0–$2.25T14%▼ 3
6 more
  • <$1.25T13%▲ 4
  • $2.25–$2.5T5%▼ 1
  • No IPO by December 31, 20273%▲ 3
  • $2.5–$2.75T2%
  • $2.75–$3.0T1%
  • $3.0T+<1%

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2T.

  • Reaches $1.5T82%
  • Reaches $1.75T70%
  • Reaches $2T50%
  • Reaches $2.25T26%
  • Falls to $800B4%
  • Falls to $700B2%
  • Falls to $600B1%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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