Bank of England decision in November?
99%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase99%▲ 1
- No change1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
- 25 bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 50+ bps increase<1%
Install
Bank of England rate decision in November (Nov 5, 2026 meeting)
The odds
97%Hike 1-25bps
- Hike 1-25bps97%▼ 3
- Maintain current rate1%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
- Cut 1-25bps1%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
How the odds have moved
Hike 1-25bps: 80% on Oct 2, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hike 1-25bps | 97% | ▼ 3 | 93¢ | 23.9K | |
| Maintain current rate | 1% | 43¢ | 7.2K | ||
| Cut more than 25bps | 1% | 1¢ | 1.6K | ||
| Cut 1-25bps | 1% | 1¢ | 1.7K | ||
| Hike more than 25bps | 1% | 1¢ | 1.4K |
The same question on Polymarket
Shown side by side, not averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›Bank of England rate decision in December (Dec 17, 2026 meeting)
74%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate74%▲ 2
- Hike 1-25bps21%▼ 2
- Hike more than 25bps3%
- Cut 1-25bps2%▲ 1
1 more
- Cut more than 25bps1%▼ 1
Bank of England Decision in February?
60%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase60%▼ 2
- No Change14%▼ 23
- 25 bps decrease5%
- 50+ bps decrease2%
1 more
- 50+ bps increase<1%▼ 2
Bank of England Decision in March?
59%No Change
- No Change59%▼ 1
- 25 bps increase32%▲ 1
- 50+ bps decrease5%
- 50+ bps increase4%
1 more
- 25 bps decrease4%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
98%0 (0 bps)
- 0 (0 bps)98%
- 1 (25 bps)1%
- 2 (50 bps)<1%
- 3 (75 bps)<1%
9 more
- 4 (100 bps)<1%
- 12+ (300+ bps)<1%
- 5 (125 bps)<1%
- 6 (150 bps)<1%
- 7 (175 bps)<1%
- 8 (200 bps)<1%
- 9 (225 bps)<1%
- 10 (250 bps)<1%
- 11 (275 bps)<1%
Fed Decision in December?
77%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase77%
- No change21%
- 50+ bps increase1%▼ 1
- 25 bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Fed rate cut by...?
52%July 2027 Meeting
- July 2027 Meeting52%▼ 1
- April 2027 Meeting50%▲ 12
- June 2027 Meeting30%▼ 3
- March 2027 Meeting13%
2 more
- January 2027 Meeting9%
- December 2026 Meeting1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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