Bank of England rate decision in December (Dec 17, 2026 meeting)
61%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate61%▼ 13
- Hike 1-25bps36%▲ 13
- Hike more than 25bps2%
- Cut 1-25bps1%
1 more
- Cut more than 25bps1%▼ 1
Install
Bank of England decision in November?
Settled 25 bps increaseA day before, traders gave it 98%
The last odds before it closed
>99%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase>99%▲ 1
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
- 25 bps decrease<1%
- No change<1%▼ 1
- 50+ bps increase<1%
How the odds have moved
25 bps increase: 90% on Oct 13, >99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ 25 bps increase | >99% | $227.9K | |||
| ✗ 50+ bps decrease | <1% | $95.7K | |||
| ✗ 25 bps decrease | <1% | $116.1K | |||
| ✗ No change | <1% | $156.9K | |||
| ✗ 50+ bps increase | <1% | $69.7K |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›Bank of England Decision in February?
78%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase78%▲ 21
- No Change16%
- 25 bps decrease4%▼ 1
- 50+ bps decrease2%
1 more
- 50+ bps increase<1%
Bank of England Decision in March?
59%No Change
- No Change59%▼ 1
- 25 bps increase32%▲ 1
- 50+ bps decrease5%
- 50+ bps increase4%
1 more
- 25 bps decrease3%▼ 1
Fed Decision in December?
66%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase66%▼ 12
- No change32%▲ 10
- 25 bps decrease1%▲ 1
- 50+ bps increase1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease1%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
97%0 (0 bps)
- 0 (0 bps)97%▼ 1
- 1 (25 bps)1%
- 2 (50 bps)<1%
- 3 (75 bps)<1%
9 more
- 4 (100 bps)<1%
- 5 (125 bps)<1%
- 12+ (300+ bps)<1%
- 6 (150 bps)<1%
- 7 (175 bps)<1%
- 8 (200 bps)<1%
- 9 (225 bps)<1%
- 10 (250 bps)<1%
- 11 (275 bps)<1%
Fed rate cut by...?
52%July 2027 Meeting
- July 2027 Meeting52%▲ 1
- April 2027 Meeting49%▼ 1
- June 2027 Meeting30%
- March 2027 Meeting12%▼ 1
2 more
- January 2027 Meeting8%▼ 1
- December 2026 Meeting2%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance