Predictions › Stocks & companies Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on November 5? Polymarket Closes today 4:00 PM ET · $563 traded · prices read just now
$500 $560
Above today's price —
$510: 92% on Nov 5, 99% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $566.05 .
Reaches $562.50 70% Reaches $570 28% Reaches $577.50 14% Falls to $547.50 45% Falls to $540 25% Falls to $532.50 22% Falls to $525 22% Already reached: ↑ $555, ↑ $547.50, ↑ $540, ↑ $532.50, ↑ $525, ↓ $517.50
$450 $590
Median $557.59 Middle half $547.43 – $566.50 Above today's price 55%
$420 $630
Median $560.45 Middle half $534.38 – $583.59 Above today's price 55%
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $582.18 and as low as $531.43 .
Reaches $570 76% Reaches $585 44% Reaches $600 24% Reaches $615 15% Falls to $540 64% Falls to $525 40% Falls to $510 22% Falls to $495 14% Already reached: ↑ $555, ↑ $540, ↑ $525, ↓ $510, ↑ $525, ↑ $555
Microsoft 77% Anthropic + OpenAI 23%
$2T $5.5T
Median $3.75T Middle half $2.87T – $4.62T Above today's price —
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Settles on Pyth price feed
Trading closes Nov 5, 2026 4:00 PM ET
Traded $563 traded
Prices read just now
Followed since Nov 4, 2026
The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket .
Reading the odds Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.
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Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use . How to use Finance