Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

Polymarket Closes Jan 4, 2027 · $11.2K traded · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

80%Microsoft
Microsoft Corporation now 535.93 −3.58%
  • Microsoft80%▲ 3
  • Anthropic + OpenAI 20%▼ 3

How the odds have moved

Microsoft: 74% on Oct 13, 80% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
Microsoft 80% ▲ 3 70¢ 90¢ $11.2K
Anthropic + OpenAI 20% ▼ 3 10¢ 30¢ $11.2K

Related markets

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What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in November 2026?

$558.75high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $558.75 and as low as $503.38.

  • Reaches $55555%
  • Reaches $57035%
  • Reaches $58522%
  • Reaches $6008%
  • Falls to $52584%
  • Falls to $51059%
  • Falls to $49539%
  • Falls to $48039%

Already reached: ↑ $555, ↑ $540, ↑ $525, ↓ $510, ↑ $525, ↑ $555

MSFT−3.58%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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