How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in November?

Polymarket Closes Nov 30 · $1.4K traded · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

45%Below 4.33%
5Y Yield now 4.608 −1.73%
4.29%4.62%

How the odds have moved

Below 4.59%: 49% on Nov 4, 45% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
Below 4.33% 45% ▼ 6 9¢ 39¢ $91.00
Below 4.37% 45% ▼ 14 13¢ 44¢ $121
Below 4.41% 45% ▼ 1 19¢ 45¢ $70.00
Below 4.44% 45% ▼ 18 24¢ 48¢ $150
Below 4.47% 45% ▼ 3 27¢ 48¢ $141
Below 4.50% 45% ▲ 7 39¢ 66¢ $100
Below 4.53% 45% ▼ 17 47¢ 55¢ $164
Below 4.56% 45% ▼ 1 67¢ 75¢ $296
Below 4.59% 45% ▲ 4 69¢ 75¢ $297

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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