How high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?

Kalshi Closes Nov 30 · 200 contracts · prices read 39 min ago

The odds

33%4.87% or above
5Y Yield now 4.608 −1.73%
4.71%5.15%

How the odds have moved

5.07% or above: 23% on Nov 5, 9% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
4.87% or above 33% 9¢ 33¢ 20.00
5.02% or above 11% 6¢ 15¢
5.03% or above 11% 9¢ 14¢ 20.00
5.04% or above 11% 13¢ 10.00
5.07% or above 9% ▼ 14 6¢ 11¢ 60.00
5.08% or above 5% ▼ 17 10¢ 10.00
5.09% or above 5% 10¢
5.1% or above 5% 9¢
5.11% or above 5% 8¢
5.12% or above 5% 3¢ 8¢ 80.00
5.13% or above 4% 7¢
5.14% or above 4% 7¢
5.15% or above 4% 7¢

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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