How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in November?
40%Below 4.18%
4.14%4.47%
Install
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in November?
The odds
38%4.68%
4.64%5.07%
How the odds have moved
4.68%: 74% on Nov 3, 38% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.68% | 38% | ▼ 31 | 14¢ | 61¢ | $251 |
| 4.72% | 31% | ▼ 19 | 12¢ | 49¢ | $176 |
| 4.76% | 25% | ▼ 6 | 3¢ | 47¢ | $370 |
| 4.80% | 24% | ▼ 7 | 4¢ | 43¢ | $113 |
| 4.84% | 20% | ▼ 9 | 3¢ | 37¢ | $77.00 |
| 4.88% | 17% | ▼ 10 | 2¢ | 31¢ | $138 |
| 4.92% | 6% | ▼ 19 | 2¢ | 8¢ | $1.1K |
| 4.97% | 6% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 9¢ | $367 |
| 5.02% | 6% | 4¢ | 8¢ | $232 |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›7Y US Treasury yield on Nov 6, 2026?
4.72%median
4.48%5%
Median 4.72%Middle half 4.67% – 4.75%
2Y US Treasury yield on Nov 6, 2026?
4.48%median
4.43%4.75%
Median 4.48%
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
21%Below 3.90%
3.8%4.5%
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.78%median
4.7%5.8%
Median 4.78%
Fed Decision in December?
66%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase66%▼ 12
- No change32%▲ 10
- 25 bps decrease1%▲ 1
- 50+ bps increase1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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