How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
19%Below 3.90%
3.8%4.5%
Install
How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
The odds
4.78%median
4.7%5.8%
Median 4.78%
How the odds have moved
Median: 5.06% on Oct 2, 4.78% now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.75% | 59% | ▼ 10 | 57¢ | 61¢ | $1.9K |
| 4.80% | 45% | ▼ 2 | 32¢ | 58¢ | $3.1K |
| 4.85% | 37% | ▼ 12 | 23¢ | 50¢ | $2.0K |
| 4.90% | 32% | ▼ 11 | 21¢ | 43¢ | $6.1K |
| 5.00% | 19% | ▼ 7 | 17¢ | 21¢ | $3.4K |
| 5.10% | 11% | ▼ 2 | 9¢ | 13¢ | $4.1K |
| 5.20% | 4% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $1.8K |
| 5.30% | 3% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $4.7K |
| 5.40% | 3% | 2¢ | 5¢ | $3.4K | |
| 5.50% | 3% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $5.4K | |
| 5.65% | 3% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $1.4K |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in November?
35%4.68%
4.64%5.07%
How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in November?
46%Below 4.18%
4.14%4.47%
7Y US Treasury yield on Nov 6, 2026?
4.71%median
4.48%5%
Median 4.71%Middle half 4.67% – 4.75%
2Y US Treasury yield on Nov 6, 2026?
4.48%median
4.43%4.75%
Median 4.48%
Fed Decision in December?
66%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase66%▼ 11
- No change32%▲ 11
- 25 bps decrease1%
- 50+ bps increase1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4SEARCH.business. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4SEARCH.business index. Terms of use. How to use Finance